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Update October 15th, 2022

A "quick" almost hour long update of some thoughts on FX, stock markets and global thermonuclear war.

Update October 2nd, 2022

I go over a monthly / weekly view of stock indices like the DAX, S&P, NASDAQ and briefly Gold and FX as well. Total runtime did end up 60 minutes.

Update May 22nd, 2022

Just some ranting about how evil the world is with a few seconds of stock market charts, CADJPY, Oil and Silver sprinkled in.

Update March 6th, 2022

It is 2022. We still are doing this war thing and I am posting a mostly "please donate" / "war sucks" video that briefly also talks about the Gold & Silver situation.

I forgot to also briefly flash a Wheat chart, but similiar to Oil, its all basically vertical and entries were 2-4 weeks ago. Point just woulda been commods & energy are the ones tagging alongside precious metals.

Here is the video.

Update February 6th, 2022

After a very messy week, focusing in on the places where things might show some turns.

We often go from ambivalence to more clarity as the trading week(s) sorts itself out.

Enjoy!

Update January 29th, 2022

WARNING: A _lot_ of cussing this time. I go offroads a good bit.

Other than that? Something something terrific two weeks. More details inside.

Enjoy!

Update January 16th, 2022

Things are a bit more mixed this week and in turn, the outlook is slightly more if-then-else. The levels to watch of course are in turn just as paramount as always.

Please enjoy.

Update January 9th, 2022

I discuss USD perspectives, stock markets, glance at crypto.

Please enjoy.

Update December 18th 2021

Possibly the final video for the year.

Enjoy, be well, have a great christmas / holiday period and a happy, much more relevant: healthy new year!

Update November 28th, 2021

Something something Omicron Virus, pew pew markets dead. Watching for a retracement to get into one more risk-off adjustment push, with the caveat that the market open may ruin charts and prices so much that this may be harder to achieve than one may think.

Various opportunities may present themselves though, so I am watching a few things (EURxxx, xxxJPY, stock market indices e.g.).

Fair warning: I curse a lot this time around and I do not have any kind words for anti-vax, anti-mask, "personal freedom" stuff - and I know this will 100% offend people who view this differently and strongly so. We can both have our opinion and a nice chart analysis, just be forewarned that I have a pretty strong viewpoint and did not spend the time cutting my rant on this sidetrack out of the video before posting it..even though that might have been smarter.

Please enjoy the video:

Update November 13th, 2021

Inflation. The fear of all fears. Due to a surprise figure, focus has shifted to "inflation hedges". USDJPY, Gold, Silver, even perchance Crypto swim into focus strongly. I would personally not discount (quite literally) stocks, either - or at least: not yet. I go over the directional shift back to the upside in the USD, my focus on USDJPY, Gold and Silver as well as some indices and cryptos.

More in the video:

Update October 31rd, 2021 - Happy Halloween

I am late getting this out, so the short version is that Friday's USD strength has set the tone for me to watch for more of it, predominantly on EURUSD and USDJPY.

This does not necessarily jeopardize Silver, Gold. Here is the video for this week:

Update October 23rd, 2021

We had a week of mostly USD downside and Gold, Silver, Stock market and Crypto upside, only to have a bit of disturbance on Friday, with Fed comments on tapering, rates, the economy, inflation, yadda yadda yadda. I go over charts such as the NZDUSD with ongoing USD bearishness in plain sight - to me at least - and ideas about how to move forward with that in mind accordingly. I also go over the usual suspects and areas which I will be watching for a resumption of the same "USD off, precious metals on, stocks on" setting.

You can see this week's video for more details.

Update October 16th, 2021

Clearly, USDJPY can easily be declared the winner of the previous weeks' conundrum. Then again, almost everything got a big boost. JPY crosses, EURxxx crosses (to the downside), CAD continued to perform strongly (likely in part also thanks to oil), as did the three amigos overall, and stocks and crypto are also out there dancing.

What I am looking at still, what I think about some pairs regarding the USD, that and more you can see in this week's video for more details.

Update October 09th, 2021

A week of mostly watching and waiting for NFP Friday, with some deep fills helping to basically position for both a pro USDJPY and pro Gold and Silver outcome initially, to have, so far, USDJPY win out to the others detriment. We also have CAD superstrength as a clear highlight, so these will be the focal points of my trading for now.

Please see this week's video for more details.

If you enjoy this kind of content, check back regularly and follow me on Twitter, as I always announce when I post these on the weekend.

Update October 2nd, 2021

After some pretty mixed markets, due to, I suspect, some minor details such as whether or not the USA may implode fiscally, we finally seem to have settled on "Uptober" not just on crypto, but also for stock markets again as well.

More importantly however, I am actively after the potentially forming lows on Gold and Silver and looking to build on the price action there.

xxxJPY is not forgotten either, but a bit more mixed.

Please see this week's video for more details.

Update September 25th, 2021

A week filled with risk-on signs left and right, mostly though the oldschhol type: JPY crosses and stock markets. While Gold and Silver have struggled, I will continue to watch for basing - with a preceding flush or not.

Crypto interestingly enough has been a bit "meh" on the "majors" (ETH, BTC), but really quite nice on some(!) alts. I continue to believe we are having an increasingly pick-and-choose market, though obviously a bit of "follow the leader" is always going to be in the mix.

I have a few very nice technical pictures in front of me and plans for the week ahead, which you can find in this week's video.

Update September 18th, 2021

Puppy life continues, so keeping it brief (everything is being eaten as I type).

Nikkei has beautifully filled its pattern and raced to its pattern top in just around two weeks.

USD has made a run for it and looks to be resuming its uptrend. I am looking to once again position for this in the coming week and I am watching for a final flush in Silver, perhaps Gold as well.

More details on all of this are in this week's video.

Update September 5th, 2021

USD softness continued, Crypto strengh is holding and we got a puppy. Lord help us.

I expect more upside in Nikkei, Russell, Silver.

More details on all of this are in this week's video.

Update August 29th, 2021

After already starting the week with a complete negation of USD bullishness, Friday certainly put a final knockout blow onto the USDX chart. Things are shaped USD bearish now for the upcoming week, with bullish stocks and precious metals completing the quite risk-on looking picture.

I am accordingly looking to push into a variety of markets, ahead of what ideally then becomes a larger swing move.

More details on all of this are in this week's video.

Update August 22th, 2021

That "for now" from last week now appears way more warranted, as the USD dip was far more tiny than expected, with a fairly harsh upside resumption on Tuesday already, and a last glance back before continuation in most places on Wednesday. A lot of opportunity showed up during the trading week accordingly, one of the main ones being a reactivation of my old larger GBPUSD bearish move scenario, which I then pursued as we went through things. USDCHF tried to keep up, but sadly could not and was left in the dust not just by GBPUSD, but AUDUSD and even NZDUSD and a good while USDCAD as well.

The Crypto space meanwhile is foaming at the mouth to launch more and more things into all time highs and it looks like mainstream "investment" in the subject of crypto may just help speed things along far more strongly than in the last decade. I am tagging along and also tag some levels I am watching in BTC and ETH. I also finally deliver the visual goods on ADAUSD / Cardano and share the simplified target projection for the HNS pattern failure.

More details on all of this are in this week's video.

Update August 14th, 2021

After ample warning, the USD decided it was time to turn back around and double top it out - for now.

I am following along on that path with GBPUSD and watching the USD environment alongside, as well as tagging along with Silver's upside after Gold has already paved the precious metal way.

Find more details about all of this in this week's video. Enjoy!

Update August 8th, 2021

After a calm start to the week, the FOMC Wednesday shot us some terrific setups at key areas, that even gave ample opportunity to participate during Thursday. It seems we are all set for another bout of USD strength in the coming days and weeks, and I go over FX, precious metals and crypto with this in mind.

Please enjoy this week's video!

Feel free to share this if you find the video / the videos helpful. If you have any positive or negative feedback, you can also find me as @SeekinglightFX on twitter.

Update August 1st, 2021

The discussed scenarios and trades on USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY and CADJPY did quite alright. With us arriving at both a weekly and monthly close and basically fairly neutral to sideways in many a place, as well as with conflicting information on various pairs, I am taking things slow heading into August.

Stock markets remain interesting though (Russell) and the crypto space is really firing things up as well, trading up-only style for over a week. Watching closely for opportunities there.

More details in the video for this week.

Update July 24th, 2021

After a little bit of sell-off, risk came roaring back no matter where you look: Stocks, Crypto, Oil, Carry, everything got snatched up hard and we are now staring a lot of bullish looking weekly bars / candles in the face. I dissect the ones I like best in the video.

Please enjoy!

Update July 18th, 2021

The JPY crosses have taken quite the hit the last two weeks and we seem to be pursuing USD strength more urgently as expected. Even Gold and Silver have taken a hit.

Could risk-off be looming?

In this week's video I have a look at various FX pairs, Gold & Silver and a brief glance at crypto's BTC and ETH.

Please enjoy!

Update July 10th, 2021

We managed another small USDX high after pulling back a bit, but it looks like a deeper USD drawdown may be next. Whether this cascades or we pick up and reverse back in favour of the USD rather early remains to be seen. For now I am cautiously examining the market for USD shorts, but not looking to do too much. Caution is warranted.